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The Market Rebounds, but We’re Still Not Selling…

The Market Rebounds, but We’re Still Not Selling…

The S&P/ASX 200 closed on Wednesday within a sniff of the March high. It was just 44 points short.

Does that mean you should dump your stocks before the market falls again?

No. As we’ve noted over the past two months, this isn’t a market for selling stocks (with one exception that we’ll explain in a moment). Rather, it’s a market for buying stocks.

In other words, over the past month and for the rest of this year you should either be a buyer, or a non-buyer…

But not a seller. Here’s why… [Read more →]

April 30, 2013   Comments Off

About that Gold Price Crash..

About that Gold Price Crash..

‘Gold Plunges as Fears of Inflation Fade,’ noted the Wall Street Journal last week. And yes, the gold-silver decline was nasty, taking down nominalprecious metal prices, as well as the share price for many a mining firm, large, medium and small.
So, why are ‘Fears of Inflation’ fading? It helps that oil prices are moderating and likely will stay moderate for a time. Control over energy costs is good for many a business. No complaints from me, on that point.

Then again, for all the moderation in energy prices, we still see wild immoderation — call it utter profligacy — in government spending across the globe. That’s raw inflation, being cooked into the books.

Governments everywhere — certainly in the US — spend more than they take in, and run up future obligations that they’ll never be able to pay, no matter how many Cyprus-like haircuts governments give to savers and investors.

So can someone explain to me why the fading fear of inflation? I don’t get that. Indeed, as governments spend, spend and spend some more, many investors still buy all manner ofgovernment bonds — which as one wag notes, are the latest form of ‘return-free risk’.

Really, when the government can’t repay you, it won’t repay you. If governments can nick your savings accounts, what else can they do to ‘their’ bonds that you were kind enough to buy? What did P.T. Barnum say? ‘There’s a sucker born every minute.[Read more →]

April 29, 2013   Comments Off

Currency Anarchism.

This article is contributed by Pinnacledigest.com. One of the TOP sites for up to date information on the Canadian and US Stock Markets. For more information subscribe to their free newsletter.

Aaron Hoddinott's picture
Written by Aaron Hoddinott

Dear member,

The story of Bitcoin, the world’s largest decentralized,peer-to-peer fiat currency, which today outranks many sovereign currencies in liquidity (and also overall market value), is indeed a fascinating one in both investment trends and distrust in government. The only reason thisdigital currency even exists is because of broad frustration in the global monetary system.
What was once a currency traded amongst your neighborhood anarchists online, Bitcoin is now blowing up in popularity. So called ‘Bitcoin Millionaires‘ are starting to pop up.

The early adopters of this currency, which started back around Halloween 2008 (near the climax of the subprime meltdown), have seen their holdings in Bitcoin skyrocket in value over the last few years.

image source: bitcointalk.org
In just the last few months, Bitcoin’s value has increased roughly 500%. It is completely unrelated and untied to any government or the unpredictable bearish market that has left many currencies and assets gasping for life. [Read more →]

April 12, 2013   Comments Off

A Small-Cap Speculator’s Delight.

A Small-Cap Speculator’s Delight

Money Morning chief Kris Sayce made a prediction at the beginning of the year that the stock market would be over 5000 points by the end of 2013.

He was early. The stock market is already over 5,000 points. But one catch for Kris is his beloved small caps have mostly been left behind. Not all of them, but it’s the large caps, especially the banks, that have and continue to drive the market rally.

So in the never ending task of looking for value on the cheap, right now it’s probably still more fruitful to be looking into the small caps than anywhere else. Kris has been saying this for a while, too.

It’s the task of today’s Money Weekend to lift the lid on one part of this exciting sector… [Read more →]

March 11, 2013   Comments Off

Kris Sayce’s Money Weekend Market Digest: 23 February 2013

Kris Sayce’s Money Weekend Market Digest: 23 February 2013

ENERGY

The New South Wales government has placed a ban on coal seam gas exploration within two kilometres of a residential area. As we wrote in our weekly update to Australian Small-Cap Investigator subscribers,


‘…you’d think that given the state of the government’s finances they would be keen to promote anything that can provide jobs, income and potentially exports.’

According to the green movement, all fossil fuels are bad. They pollute the environment, cause greenhouse gasses, and poison the kiddies. That’s why the green movement prefers renewable or replaceable energy. Such as biofuels.

But hang on a minute. What’s this from New Scientist?


‘Say goodbye to the grass. The scramble for biofuels is rapidly killing off unique grasslands and pastures in the central US.

‘Christopher Wright and Michael Wimberly of South Dakota State University in Brookings analysed satellite images of five states in the western corn belt. They found that 530,000 hectares of grassland disappeared under blankets of maize and soya beans between 2006 and 2011. The rate was fastest in South Dakota and Iowa, with as much as 5 per cent of pasture becoming cropland each year.

‘The trend is being driven by rising demand for the crops, partly through incentives to use them as fuels instead of food. [Read more →]

February 23, 2013   Comments Off

‘The Chinese Economy Will Pick Up in 2013 and So Will the Stock Market’.

‘The Chinese Economy Will Pick Up in 2013 and So Will the Stock Market’

For a view on the future of the Chinese economy, who better to ask than its businessmen? I had the chance to talk to two while I was in Hong Kong and Guangdong over Christmas.

The first, Jim, never went to school. He was working in a Hong Kong factory at the age of nine, where he made just £4 a month — all of which went to his family. Today, he lives in a large house in Hong Kong, has four cars, is a member of the prestigious Jockey Club and thinks nothing of betting a few thousand pounds on the horses at Happy Valley.

Jim has three fine and well educated sons, but he wonders whether they will do as well as he has without the incentive of an escape from poverty. After working for others for several years, he set up his own clothing factory in China, he made a good business supplying customers in Europe, and provided many jobs for loyal and grateful staff. [Read more →]

January 24, 2013   Comments Off

How to Find Stocks for Troubled Times: Keep Scalable Businesses in Mind.

How to Find Stocks for Troubled Times: Keep Scalable Businesses in Mind

Which company would you rather invest in? One that will continue to make a million dollars in profit, or one that is only just breaking even, but has the chance of making billions?

The right answer depends on what you’re trying to achieve with your investment. But there’s a factor which many people overlook when trying to pick the companies that have a bundle of potential. How quickly, easily and cheaply could they get to that billion dollar mark?

BHP didn’t just go from being a small cap stock to making tens of billions in profit overnight. It took vast amounts of capital investment, costly acquisitions, painstaking exploration and more to get at each ton of iron ore. The more iron ore they wanted, the more they had to spend, explore and dig.

That meant BHP’s owners got rich the hard way. There’s nothing wrong with that. It just takes time and money to do it. [Read more →]

January 24, 2013   Comments Off

Is There Any Good News to Come from the US Debt Crisis?

Cast your mind back to mid-2011.

The US debt level had blown out so badly that it reached the debt ceiling.

The US Government legally couldn’t borrow beyond this level. In other words, the US government credit card was well and truly maxed out.

Endless months of negotiation concluded with a deal that allowed the US government a lazy $900 billion extra credit (terms and conditions apply), which took the limit up to $15.194 trillion.

What happened next was where things got really messy.
Then on the back of all this, in early August 2011 Standard & Poor’s ‘rating agency’ downgraded US debt for the first time ever.

Markets crashed.

Stocks had their most volatile week since the 2008 financial crisis, with the Dow Jones Index falling 5.6% in a single day. The ASX200 fell to its low point for the year. And within weeks, gold soared from US$1600 to set a new record high of US$1920.

With the US government just weeks away from reaching the US debt ceiling again, could all this be set to repeat? [Read more →]

December 6, 2012   Comments Off

Forget the US Election, This Stock Market Event is the One to Watch For.

The US elections have finally arrived.

I have no interest trying to add to the reams of commentary on the US election outcome. I think we all know that not much will change either way.

The American government (Republican or Democrat) will continue to spend more money than it can afford to and will pay for it with printed dollars. If any cans need kicking they will be booted by both parties until they can be kicked no more.

But what about the idea that the stock market does better depending on which party wins the White House? If you want to trade stocks on the back of the US election outcome then stop.

You should keep reading today’s Money Morning before you punt your retirement savings using that strategy… [Read more →]

November 9, 2012   Comments Off

10 Ways To Find Investment Properties.

Just for a change we will have a look at investing in Property.

If you really want to find the best opportunities in investment properties, you have to increase your odds by finding more deals. Who is more likely to get a cheap apartment building, an investor that looks through the property listings and calls it a day, or the one that uses these ten resources? Here are the ten:

1. Talk. Let people know you are looking and occasionally the properties will come to you. There are a lot of owners out there who want to sell, but haven’t yet listed their property.

2. Use the internet. Go to a search engine such as Google and enter the type of real estate you are currently looking for, along with the city you want to invest in. You just never know what you might find.

3. Take a drive around and just go looking for “For Sale By Owner” signs. Owners often don’t want to keep on paying out money to keep the ad in the paper every week, so you won’t see all properties listed there. [Read more →]

November 8, 2012   Comments Off